China business daily (reporter Ma Jiawen / Figure) recently, a large number of new garlic were listed. The reporter of China business daily learned that the current purchase price of garlic is close to 2 yuan / kg, an increase of about 122% compared with the purchase price of 0.8 yuan - 0.9 yuan / kg last year. In addition, the price of dried garlic and semi dried garlic after drying has gone up all the way. Why are garlic prices higher? Will it rise in the future?

Compared with recent years, garlic prices have reached a new high.

The purchase price of new and old garlic doubled

This year's garlic market is bustling. A garlic purchaser in Laiwu District of Jinan told the China Business Daily that the price of garlic this year is higher than that in previous years. The purchase price of some garlic has exceeded 2 yuan / kg. The dried garlic is more expensive, while the purchase price of garlic last year was only a few cents a kg. According to the current purchase price, the price of garlic at the retail end should be about 4 yuan / kg.

Garlic sold on the market is divided into new garlic and old garlic. The price of old garlic is slightly expensive. Gao Tingting, garlic analyst of Shanghai Steel Union - my agricultural products network, told reporters that the large number of new garlic listed on the market made the prices of new garlic and old garlic remain high for a time. For example, the price of space fresh garlic rose from about 1.60 yuan / kg to about 1.90 yuan / kg from listing to closing; The price of semi dry garlic from Jinxiang County, Shandong Province is 2.50-2.80 yuan / kg.

The reporter learned in a farmers' market in Chaoyang District, Beijing that the price of some garlic has reached about 6 yuan / kg. Many business households said that they thought that after the new garlic was listed, the price of garlic could be reduced, but at present, the price of garlic is still very high.

Why does garlic double its "value"“ First, the mentality of growers has changed. Last year, many farmers lost money, and the selling price of new garlic started from a low point, which was gradually raised later. In addition, garlic is a product with very strong financial attributes. In the short term, capital and popularity completely cover the fundamentals of the market. Last year, some markets were unwilling to "step empty". From the high collection and storage enthusiasm of garlic stalks, it can be seen that this year, the garlic market is very popular, garlic vendors have high enthusiasm for receiving goods, and the asking price is firm. Moreover, in order to digest the inventory, some growers hyped the topic of production reduction and raised the price of garlic. To sum up, it is a foregone conclusion that the price of garlic this year is significantly higher than that last year. " Gao Tingting said.

Will it rise in the future

It is noteworthy that garlic growers who had previously lost money made good profits. Gao Tingting said that the cost of garlic growers planting garlic and drying it into dry garlic is about 1.5 yuan / kg. Based on the purchase price of 2.8 yuan / kg, the profit of growers this year is about 1.3 yuan / kg. If 2300 kg of dry garlic is produced per mu (related to planting area, soil and management technology), the profit per mu is about 3000 yuan, which is better. At present, part of the new garlic is sold directly in the wholesale market and part is dried. The profit of the wholesaler after removing the cost is about 0.1 yuan / kg. Due to the high price of dried garlic, some farmers have stopped selling fresh garlic and sold dried garlic instead.

The current garlic market is hot, and growers are optimistic about the garlic market. A garlic grower from Laiwu District, Jinan told the China Business Daily that last year, the price of garlic reached a new low in recent years, the income could not cover the cost, and most growers were losing money. His garlic has been booked in advance this year, and he is also optimistic about the price of garlic this year.

How will the subsequent garlic price develop“ Affected by capital, popularity and disk, garlic price trend is difficult to accurately predict. In terms of garlic storage, at present, the renewal of the storage has been completed, the storage fee has been paid, the mentality of the stockers is relatively stable, and the intention of large growers to sell goods has increased. The stockers will carefully select appropriate sources of goods to follow up. It is expected that the price of garlic storage will be stable this week. However, a large number of new garlic are listed on the market. In addition to the wholesale market, the proportion of air drying increases, and merchants favor new garlic with better dryness. Therefore, despite the large increase in the loading volume, garlic vendors will still insist on asking prices. Subsequently, with the continuous improvement of the dryness of new garlic and the increase of market supply, the price is expected to be stable this week. After June 20, a large number of new dried garlic will be listed. At that time, the market's attention to garlic in the cold storage will be gradually reduced, and the price trend of new dried garlic will be clear. " Gao Tingting said.